Málaga vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
LEV
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MAL
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
PAN
0 - 0
MAL
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 1
MLL
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 0
PAN
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 2
TER
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 3
ZEN
23%
22%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 2
FCR
51%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ZEN
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ZEN
5 - 0
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |