Málaga vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 2
FCB
6%
15%
80%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 0
MAL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
SEV
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 1
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 2
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
GIR
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
EIB
1 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
GET
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |