Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-5
Málaga vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
MAL
0 - 3
ATB
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
LEG
0 - 2
MAL
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
MAL
2 - 1
MLL
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1998 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
MER
1 - 4
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
RSO
1 - 0
VAD
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
VAD
2 - 1
ESP
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
SLA
1 - 0
VAD
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
VAD
3 - 1
VCF
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
CEL
0 - 0
VAD
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |