Málaga vs Valencia analysis

Málaga Valencia
86 ELO 90
-6.7% Tilt -4.5%
605º General ELO ranking 52º
34º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
33.1%
Málaga
27.2%
Draw
39.7%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
Málaga
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.7%
Win probability
Valencia
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Málaga
-3%
-3%
Valencia

ELO progression

Málaga
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2015
ATH
Athletic
1 - 0
Málaga
MAL
47%
25%
28%
86 86 0 0
25 Jan. 2015
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Málaga
MAL
47%
25%
28%
86 86 0 0
21 Jan. 2015
MAL
Málaga
0 - 0
Athletic
ATH
49%
25%
26%
86 86 0 0
18 Jan. 2015
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 0
Málaga
MAL
61%
21%
18%
87 89 2 -1
13 Jan. 2015
LEV
Levante
3 - 2
Málaga
MAL
31%
27%
42%
87 83 4 0

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2015
VCF
Valencia
3 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
57%
22%
21%
90 89 1 0
17 Jan. 2015
VCF
Valencia
3 - 2
Almería
ALM
75%
16%
10%
90 82 8 0
13 Jan. 2015
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 0
Valencia
VCF
25%
26%
50%
90 82 8 0
10 Jan. 2015
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
29%
27%
45%
90 84 6 0
07 Jan. 2015
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
78%
15%
7%
90 83 7 0