Málaga vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
VEL
0 - 1
MAL
26%
29%
46%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
MAL
0 - 1
CCF
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
ECI
1 - 0
MAL
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
MMA
1 - 0
MAL
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
MAL
4 - 1
YEC
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRA
37%
28%
34%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
UDS
1 - 1
UTR
57%
25%
18%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
CCF
4 - 0
UTR
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
UTR
3 - 0
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
XER
1 - 0
UTR
72%
19%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |