Málaga vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 1
MAL
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALB
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
XER
1 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 0
ELC
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 2
MAL
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 3
GIM
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CEL
0 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
RSO
34%
27%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
RCF
2 - 2
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |