Málaga vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 0
SLA
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 1
PON
75%
18%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
RSO
2 - 1
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 2
MAL
33%
27%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 2
ELC
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PON
0 - 3
RMC
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
RMC
2 - 0
LOR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VAD
4 - 0
RMC
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 1
XER
38%
26%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |