Málaga vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
NOV
0 - 1
MAL
24%
28%
48%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
MAL
0 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SEV
1 - 1
MAL
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
0 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
1 - 0
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
REC
2 - 1
GRA
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
UDS
2 - 1
REC
29%
30%
42%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
REC
1 - 0
LOR
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
XER
0 - 3
REC
51%
26%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
REC
2 - 2
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |