Málaga vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 0
MAL
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
MLL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 1
SEV
32%
25%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 4
FCB
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
ZAR
0 - 2
BET
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
ZAR
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
94%
5%
1%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 0
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |