Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Málaga vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
XER
1 - 0
MAL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 1
POL
70%
20%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIU
2 - 0
MAL
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAL
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
3 - 1
UDL
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MLL
0 - 0
RSO
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
RSO
1 - 3
ZAR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
DEP
2 - 0
RSO
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
RSO
2 - 3
REC
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
RMA
2 - 0
RSO
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |