Málaga vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
LOR
2 - 0
MAL
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
ICR
1 - 4
MAL
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
MAL
3 - 3
POL
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
SEV
1 - 0
MAL
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
MAL
1 - 1
UDS
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
MUR
0 - 0
GRA
44%
27%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
MUR
1 - 0
CCF
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
MEL
1 - 0
MUR
41%
30%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
MUR
2 - 2
MAN
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAD
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |