Málaga vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
81.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 2
MAL
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 0
VIL
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 2
FCB
6%
15%
80%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 0
MAL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 3
JUV
72%
16%
12%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
71%
17%
12%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 3
RMA
30%
24%
47%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 3
RMA
5%
12%
83%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RMA
6 - 3
GIR
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |