Málaga vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
GET
2 - 1
MAL
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 1
MAL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MLL
1 - 1
MAL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MAL
0 - 0
VAD
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
RMA
5 - 1
ATH
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
MLL
1 - 4
RMA
28%
24%
48%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RMA
3 - 2
OSA
87%
10%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RMA
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
VCF
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |