Málaga vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SEV
1 - 1
MAL
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
0 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
1 - 0
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
MAL
1 - 0
UDS
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
POL
1 - 1
GRA
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
UDS
0 - 0
POL
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
POL
1 - 1
LOR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
XER
0 - 2
POL
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
POL
1 - 0
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |