Málaga vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1997 |
MAL
3 - 0
AMA
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAL
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
MAL
2 - 2
MEL
72%
20%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAL
27%
31%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDM
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1997 |
LOR
4 - 2
COT
88%
10%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
BUL
3 - 0
LOR
20%
26%
54%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -3 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
LOR
3 - 2
UDL
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
IND
1 - 2
LOR
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
LOR
1 - 0
ALQ
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |