Primera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 4-3
Málaga vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RMC
1 - 2
MAL
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
ANT
57%
27%
17%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAL
20%
27%
53%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 1
CEU
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 2
GIM
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
MAJ
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 2
GIM
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 1
SDL
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |