Málaga vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LEV
4 - 1
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
VCF
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 0
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATH
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
VCF
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 2
ESP
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 0
ESP
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |