Málaga vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 0
AEK
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAL
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
RAY
2 - 1
MAL
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MAL
4 - 0
REC
70%
20%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 0
MLL
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CEL
4 - 1
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MLL
0 - 2
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 1
SEV
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CEL
2 - 0
FCB
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
RSO
1 - 0
CEL
52%
24%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |