Málaga vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
79.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 0
MAL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
SEV
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 1
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 2
VCF
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATM
23%
27%
51%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATM
81%
12%
7%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 1
FCB
5%
14%
81%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FCB
6 - 1
GIR
95%
4%
1%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
CHL
1 - 1
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EIB
0 - 2
FCB
10%
17%
74%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |