Málaga vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
MAL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 3
MAL
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 1
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
MAL
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCB
0 - 0
DEP
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCB
7%
16%
77%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
61%
21%
19%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RSO
2 - 1
FCB
6%
16%
78%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | -1 |