Málaga vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 2
FIO
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 1
QAT
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
WHU
0 - 2
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
3 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
MAL
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 1
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
OLP
0 - 0
ATH
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
OSA
3 - 1
ATH
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TFC
2 - 0
ATH
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |