Málaga U 19 vs Recreativo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
9º
4º
3
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 65 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 62 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 52 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 37 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 31 |
16º
|
53% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 14 |
17º
|
66% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 10 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga U 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
3 - 3
MAL
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
MAL
3 - 2
MLL
29%
25%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MAL
4 - 0
FER
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAL
0 - 2
CAD
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TNF
2 - 5
MAL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Recreativo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RCR
0 - 3
CAD
13%
20%
67%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 1
RCR
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RCR
0 - 1
BET
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 0
RCR
75%
16%
9%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
RCR
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |