Málaga U 19 vs Calavera CF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
9º
4º
2
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 81 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 76 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 61 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 53 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 41 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 36 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 24 |
17º
|
34% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 14 |
18º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
43.5% | 1.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
15.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga U 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
MAL
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CAD
1 - 2
MAL
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 2
GRA
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 3
MAL
19%
21%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calavera CF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 3
CAD
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 5
BET
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SAJ
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
CAL
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |