Malacateco vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
TOR
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
ZAC
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 1
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 0
ACH
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MIX
2 - 1
ZAC
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |