Malacateco vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
9º
3º
6
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 33 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 31 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 29 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 28 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 26 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 19 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
88% | 60% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COB
1 - 0
TOR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
7 - 2
XIN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 1
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 2
COB
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
XIN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |