Apertura Guatemala Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Malacateco vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
5 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
CHI
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |