Malacateco vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
11º
19
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
COM
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
0 - 1
XIN
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 3
COB
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |