Apertura Guatemala Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Malacateco vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
XIN
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
ANT
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IZT
2 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
0 - 1
MUN
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |