Malacateco vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
11º
29
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
IZT
2 - 2
TOR
48%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
SLC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
COM
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 2
XIN
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
MIX
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 1
CHI
29%
29%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 0
ACH
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
IZT
3 - 1
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |