Malacateco vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
TOR
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 2
COA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VEN
3 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
HER
4 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |