Malacateco vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HAL
4 - 1
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
ESC
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 4
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
ESC
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
CON
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 1
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
CHI
6 - 2
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |