Malacateco vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
11º
9º
4
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
2º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 25 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
7.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOR
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
MIX
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
TOR
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
ACH
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COB
3 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
ZAC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |