Malacateco vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
9º
8º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COB
4 - 2
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
COM
5 - 0
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
4 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 1
COA
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COA
1 - 3
COB
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
COA
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
ANT
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COA
0 - 1
ZAC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |