Malacateco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
5º
5º
30
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
XIN
2 - 1
TOR
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 2
ACH
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
COA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 0
MIX
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
ACH
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
ACH
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |