Malacateco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
11º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
XIN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHI
44%
29%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
SLC
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 1
ACH
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 2
GUA
38%
31%
31%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
5 - 1
ACH
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
COM
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |