Makedonikos Neapolis vs Kozani FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
5º
24
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
60.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonikos Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
MKN
1 - 1
MYT
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
IRA
5 - 1
MKN
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MKN
1 - 1
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 2
MKN
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MKN
3 - 1
APO
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kozani FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 0
LEV
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
0 - 0
MAK
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
MAK
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 1
MAK
53%
24%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 1
PTF
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |