Makedonikos Neapolis vs Aiolikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
5º
19
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
60.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonikos Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
IRA
5 - 1
MKN
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MKN
1 - 1
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 2
MKN
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MKN
3 - 1
APO
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
NIK
1 - 2
MKN
62%
24%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
0 - 0
MAK
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
1 - 1
IRA
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 1
MYT
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MYT
4 - 2
KAM
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
MYT
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |