Kozani FC vs Makedonikos Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
12º
9º
31
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozani FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
MAK
67%
21%
13%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 2
KIS
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 2
MYT
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
IRA
16%
20%
64%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MYT
2 - 0
MAK
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Makedonikos Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
MYT
1 - 3
MKN
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MKN
0 - 0
IRA
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MKN
0 - 4
EGA
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MKN
3 - 1
PTF
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 0
MKN
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |