Kozani FC vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
12º
9º
29
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozani FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
PTF
1 - 0
MAK
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
AEK
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
KAM
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
MAK
62%
24%
14%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
APO
54%
24%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
IRA
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 2
KAM
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
IRA
20%
26%
55%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
NIK
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
IRA
75%
18%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |