Makedonija GP vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
54.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
PEL
0 - 0
MAK
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAK
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
MAK
0 - 0
RAB
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
MAK
2 - 1
BEL
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
MAK
0 - 1
SHK
9%
20%
71%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 0
SHK
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
FKK
1 - 4
VAR
7%
14%
79%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RAB
1 - 1
VAR
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 4
SIL
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
AKP
0 - 1
VAR
24%
28%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |