North Macedonia Cup Last 16
Global 3-2
Makedonija GP vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
64.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SIL
1 - 1
MAK
51%
26%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MAK
3 - 0
RAB
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SHK
2 - 1
MAK
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAK
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MAK
0 - 0
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POB
0 - 1
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 0
SIL
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RAB
0 - 2
VAR
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAK
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 1
SHK
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |