Makedonija GP vs FK Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
9º
5º
22
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
4 - 0
MAK
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
FCS
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
MAK
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 1
SIL
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 0
RAB
24%
29%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
5 - 0
FKS
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 0
FKS
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 0
BRE
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FKC
0 - 3
FKS
5%
13%
82%
|
52 | 6 | 46 | 0 |