Mairena vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAC
4 - 1
MAI
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
UDB
1 - 1
MAI
35%
26%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 1
CAM
43%
24%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
OSU
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 4
MAI
46%
23%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
OSU
56%
22%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDP
3 - 2
VIL
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
VEN
38%
24%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAC
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |