Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-3
Mairena vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
CCF
1 - 2
MAI
38%
29%
33%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
MAI
3 - 2
CDR
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
SFE
0 - 0
MAI
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
MAI
3 - 0
RUT
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
MOG
1 - 0
MAI
34%
29%
37%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
ATH
2 - 0
REC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
REC
3 - 0
DEP
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
REC
2 - 2
OVI
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 1
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
REC
2 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |