Mairena vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 1
MAI
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAI
3 - 1
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAI
4 - 1
IBA
37%
24%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
MAI
32%
26%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAI
4 - 0
UDR
53%
23%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
VEN
40%
25%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 3
EST
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IBA
0 - 0
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
OSU
58%
22%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
MAI
32%
26%
42%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |