Mairena vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 1
MAI
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 2
SRO
44%
26%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
POZ
2 - 1
MAI
22%
27%
52%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 1
LAP
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
XER
1 - 1
MAI
84%
12%
4%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
SEV
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BET
2 - 1
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CON
2 - 3
REC
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
5 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
SRQ
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |