Mairena vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
MAI
20%
27%
53%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
SEV
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 1
MAI
35%
28%
37%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
ASJ
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAI
19%
28%
53%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ARC
0 - 2
CRD
36%
27%
37%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARC
34%
27%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
ARC
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARC
3 - 1
SEV
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |