Mairena vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 0
MAI
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
4 - 1
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 1
MAI
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 2
CDD
69%
19%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 0
MAI
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARH
1 - 2
CDD
44%
24%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
ARH
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ARH
0 - 1
MSQ
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UDR
6 - 1
ARH
22%
22%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARH
1 - 2
ALC
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |