Mairena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CRD
0 - 1
MAI
44%
28%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 1
ARC
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
MAI
20%
27%
53%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
SEV
56%
24%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 1
MAI
35%
28%
37%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
POZ
1 - 2
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 3
CRD
46%
27%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
CEU
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |