Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
HER
0 - 0
M05
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ARB
2 - 1
M05
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
M05
1 - 1
HOF
19%
20%
62%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SCF
1 - 3
M05
42%
25%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
BVB
12%
17%
71%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RBL
2 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
WOL
5 - 3
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BYM
1 - 1
BRE
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |